Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -6.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -8.2 (+9.8) | 133.5 (-5.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -8.1 (+9.9) | 137.0 (-9.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -7.3 (+10.7) | 136.8 (-8.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -6.8 (+11.2) | 133.7 (-5.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SBU 94 – 76 URI |
| Feb 13, 2025 | URI 68 – 64 SBU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | SBU 99 – 64 URI |
| Jan 12, 2023 | URI 68 – 67 SBU |
| Dec 30, 2020 | URI 63 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 5-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#90) | 3.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#62) | 0.06 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#68) | 0.34 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#52) | 0.509 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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