Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -350 URI +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +35 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -10.0 (+25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -9.1 (+25.9) | 142.3 (+20.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -8.7 (+26.3) | 140.5 (+22.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -7.7 (+27.3) | 144.7 (+18.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -7.8 (+27.2) | 145.7 (+17.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SBU 94 – 76 URI |
| Feb 13, 2025 | URI 68 – 64 SBU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | URI 68 – 67 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | SBU 73 – 55 URI |
| Dec 30, 2020 | URI 63 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#88) | 0.2 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#114) | 0.35 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#128) | 0.48 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#110) | 0.529 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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