Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | URI -110 SBU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -0.7 (+3.3) | 138.2 (-6.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.6 (+4.6) | 136.7 (-4.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -1.5 (+2.5) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -0.9 (+3.1) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SBU 94 – 76 URI |
| Jan 18, 2024 | SBU 99 – 64 URI |
| Jan 12, 2023 | URI 68 – 67 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | SBU 73 – 55 URI |
| Dec 30, 2020 | URI 63 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#122) | 4.2 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#118) | 0.92 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#114) | 1.24 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#98) | 0.551 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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