Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | URI -110 SBU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -0.2 (+0.8) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -0.6 (+0.4) | 134.2 (+0.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -0.9 (+0.1) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -0.4 (+0.6) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SBU 94 – 76 URI |
| Feb 13, 2025 | URI 68 – 64 SBU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | SBU 99 – 64 URI |
| Feb 23, 2022 | SBU 73 – 55 URI |
| Dec 30, 2020 | URI 63 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#228) | -0.3 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#266) | -0.06 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#241) | 0.02 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.499 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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