Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -2100 EVAN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +34 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -21.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -18.8 (+15.2) | 148.7 (+13.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -16.6 (+17.4) | 149.3 (+12.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -17.2 (+16.8) | 150.1 (+11.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -18.7 (+15.3) | 150.9 (+11.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BEL 95 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 11-3 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#58) | -8.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#54) | -1.69 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#55) | -1.96 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#45) | 0.435 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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