Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +340 BEL -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -13.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -11.7 (+6.7) | 144.2 (+16.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.2 (+6.2) | 145.1 (+15.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.0 (+7.0) | 145.6 (+15.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -12.3 (+7.3) | 147.2 (+13.8) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BEL 95 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 16-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#296) | 9.8 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#270) | 2.20 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#268) | 3.27 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#260) | 0.563 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 53.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 62.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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