Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -750 EVAN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -11.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -10.5 (-15.5) | 149.8 (+5.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -10.1 (-15.1) | 149.6 (+5.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -9.1 (-14.1) | 148.9 (+6.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -9.7 (-14.7) | 149.3 (+5.7) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BEL 95 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 9-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#129) | -6.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#90) | -0.77 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#101) | -0.82 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#77) | 0.461 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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