Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -2500 EVAN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +32 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -18.2 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -14.7 (+17.3) | 148.3 (+9.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -17.5 (+14.5) | 146.7 (+11.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -14.1 (+17.9) | 146.5 (+11.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -14.6 (+17.4) | 146.4 (+11.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-2 | 3-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#126) | -12.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#115) | -1.89 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#132) | -2.33 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#81) | 0.408 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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