Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -700 EVAN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -8.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -8.5 (+8.5) | 153.3 (-4.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.2 (+5.8) | 151.9 (-2.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -9.7 (+7.3) | 151.0 (-2.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -9.4 (+7.6) | 153.0 (-4.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BEL 95 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#127) | -2.7 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#110) | -0.02 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#111) | -0.15 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#80) | 0.494 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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