Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +200 BEL -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -5.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -5.7 (+2.7) | 141.8 (+25.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -5.3 (+2.3) | 141.1 (+25.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -4.9 (+1.9) | 140.3 (+26.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -5.8 (+2.8) | 141.8 (+25.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BEL 95 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#291) | 1.6 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#283) | 1.23 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#258) | 1.12 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#284) | 0.570 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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