Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
America East Conference · Broadview Center · February 26, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UALB -4.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money UALB -225 / ME +185
Model Predictions
Spread Total UALB win
Actual ME +11 129 Lost
Massey UALB -5.8 (-16.8) — —
Massey Totals — 129.5 (-0.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UALB -4.7 (-15.7) 131.2 (-2.2) 60% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UALB -3.7 (-14.7) 130.6 (-1.6) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UALB -3.8 (-14.8) 131.2 (-2.2) 62% ✗
Baseline ML UALB -4.4 (-15.4) 131.5 (-2.5) 52% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 ME 52 – 49 UALB
Feb 20, 2025 UALB 79 – 68 ME
Jan 11, 2025 ME 87 – 66 UALB
Mar 2, 2024 ME 74 – 71 UALB
Jan 25, 2024 ME 81 – 73 UALB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UALB ME
Overall 11-21 8-24
Conference 7-9 6-10
Home 6-5 4-8
Away 4-13 4-14
Neutral 0-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 68.7 61.2
Avg Pts Against 74.5 68.5
Massey -10.5 (#314) -13.3 (#341)
Bradley-Terry -2.06 (#336) -2.59 (#351)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#322) -3.30 (#351)
RPI 0.433 (#307) 0.407 (#347)
Shooting & Four Factors UALB ME
FG% 44.8% 43.4%
3PT% 32.4% 30.2%
REB / G 32.4 27.8
OREB / G 10.8 6.6
AST / TO 1.05 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 49.0%
TOV% 18.2% 19.5%
ORB% 31.9% 20.3%
FT Rate 17.6% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.3% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 19.1%
DRB% 67.0% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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