Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ME -138 UALB +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ME -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -3.3 (+4.7) | 145.3 (+8.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -2.1 (+5.9) | 143.2 (+10.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -2.3 (+5.7) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -3.1 (+4.9) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ME 52 – 49 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UALB 79 – 68 ME |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ME 74 – 71 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#217) | -3.3 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#245) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#236) | -0.61 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#237) | 0.480 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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