Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UALB +105 ME -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ME -1.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -1.3 (+12.3) | 138.9 (+8.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -0.3 (+11.3) | 136.6 (+10.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -1.8 (+12.8) | 135.8 (+11.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -1.5 (+12.5) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ME 52 – 49 UALB |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ME 74 – 71 UALB |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ME 81 – 73 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | -2.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#259) | -0.48 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#255) | -0.52 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#262) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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