Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UALB +110 ME +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -2.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -1.4 (-4.4) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -1.0 (-4.0) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -2.1 (-5.1) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -1.9 (-4.9) | 147.3 (-2.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ME 52 – 49 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UALB 79 – 68 ME |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ME 81 – 73 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#239) | -3.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#259) | -0.74 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#264) | -0.69 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#239) | 0.477 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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