Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | ME +130 UALB -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +3 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -0.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -2.1 (+5.1) | 127.5 (-26.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -2.7 (+5.7) | 129.3 (-28.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -2.5 (+5.5) | 127.2 (-26.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -2.0 (+5.0) | 125.3 (-24.3) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UALB 79 – 68 ME |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ME 74 – 71 UALB |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ME 81 – 73 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#343) | -9.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#354) | -1.67 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.83 (#353) | -1.90 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#343) | 0.422 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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