Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -142 LSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +7 | 205 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -1.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+56.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -0.2 (-6.8) | 151.6 (+53.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -0.4 (-7.4) | 148.8 (+56.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -0.2 (-7.2) | 146.5 (+58.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -0.2 (-7.2) | 148.2 (+56.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MISS 76 – 72 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#85) | 11.0 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#95) | 1.18 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#96) | 1.84 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#147) | 0.526 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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