Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -154 MISS +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -2.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -1.8 (+7.2) | 149.0 (+20.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -1.6 (+7.4) | 147.8 (+21.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -1.8 (+7.2) | 149.2 (+19.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -2.2 (+6.8) | 148.7 (+20.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MISS 76 – 72 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#92) | 7.2 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#96) | 3.56 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#82) | 4.05 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#120) | 0.642 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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