Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -18.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -12.9 (-16.9) | 131.1 (+16.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -14.9 (-18.9) | 129.5 (+18.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -14.2 (-18.2) | 132.4 (+15.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -13.5 (-17.5) | 134.0 (+14.0) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#9) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#17) | 0.68 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#18) | 0.94 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#6) | 0.505 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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