Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -600 LSU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -9.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -8.3 (+3.7) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -7.9 (+4.1) | 147.3 (-5.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -8.5 (+3.5) | 144.4 (-2.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -7.2 (+4.8) | 144.7 (-2.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MISS 76 – 72 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#29) | 9.8 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#13) | 1.76 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.90 (#10) | 2.29 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#26) | 0.536 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.