Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -200 LSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -5.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -4.4 (+8.6) | 136.1 (+14.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -4.8 (+8.2) | 136.9 (+14.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -4.5 (+8.5) | 136.8 (+14.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -5.0 (+8.0) | 136.0 (+15.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MISS 76 – 72 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-10 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | 1.7 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#155) | 0.54 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#132) | 0.53 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#174) | 0.497 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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