Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +215 MISS -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -3.3 (+1.3) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -2.7 (+0.7) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -3.3 (+1.3) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -3.7 (+1.7) | 146.2 (-4.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | MISS 76 – 72 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#66) | 16.5 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#63) | 3.33 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#70) | 4.50 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.629 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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