Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -360 UGA +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -6.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -7.0 (+1.0) | 165.5 (+2.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -7.6 (+0.4) | 170.0 (-2.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -7.1 (+0.9) | 166.2 (+1.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -6.8 (+1.2) | 163.5 (+4.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | UGA 79 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UGA 76 – 64 VAN |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAN 85 – 82 UGA |
| Mar 10, 2022 | VAN 86 – 51 UGA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | VAN 85 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#11) | 16.9 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#22) | 2.33 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.28 (#16) | 3.22 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#20) | 0.567 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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