Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -215 VAN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -5.9 (+5.1) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -5.7 (+5.3) | 151.3 (-4.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -6.2 (+4.8) | 152.5 (-5.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -6.3 (+4.7) | 151.3 (-4.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAN 88 – 80 UGA |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UGA 76 – 64 VAN |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAN 85 – 82 UGA |
| Mar 10, 2022 | VAN 86 – 51 UGA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | VAN 85 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#33) | 12.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#25) | 2.90 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#19) | 3.13 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#40) | 0.572 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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