Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -11.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -10.1 (-2.1) | 141.8 (+20.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -9.9 (-1.9) | 141.0 (+21.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -10.2 (-2.2) | 142.2 (+19.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -10.3 (-2.3) | 141.8 (+20.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAN 88 – 80 UGA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UGA 79 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UGA 76 – 64 VAN |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAN 85 – 82 UGA |
| Mar 10, 2022 | VAN 86 – 51 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-8 | 6-13 |
| Away | 5-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#85) | -1.8 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#103) | -0.64 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#111) | -0.75 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#110) | 0.466 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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