Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -450 UGA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +35 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -9.6 (+25.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -9.5 (+25.5) | 145.3 (-8.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -10.3 (+24.7) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -10.5 (+24.5) | 142.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -10.2 (+24.8) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAN 88 – 80 UGA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UGA 79 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UGA 76 – 64 VAN |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAN 85 – 82 UGA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | VAN 85 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-8 | 6-13 |
| Away | 5-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#75) | -1.6 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#83) | -0.89 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#92) | -0.99 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#97) | 0.440 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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