Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -111 UGA -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -5.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -4.6 (-7.4) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -4.4 (-7.6) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -5.1 (-6.9) | 143.0 (-3.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -5.6 (-6.4) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAN 88 – 80 UGA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UGA 79 – 68 VAN |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAN 85 – 82 UGA |
| Mar 10, 2022 | VAN 86 – 51 UGA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | VAN 85 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 13-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#214) | 6.2 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#221) | 1.28 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#230) | 1.51 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#250) | 0.547 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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