Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -188 VAN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -2.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -1.0 (-4.0) | 140.6 (+26.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.0 (-6.0) | 140.4 (+26.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -2.9 (-5.9) | 141.7 (+25.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -2.5 (-5.5) | 140.7 (+26.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAN 88 – 80 UGA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UGA 79 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UGA 76 – 64 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2022 | VAN 86 – 51 UGA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | VAN 85 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#105) | 5.5 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#69) | 0.74 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#67) | 0.88 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#90) | 0.544 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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