They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Southeastern Conference · Stegeman Coliseum · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UGA -3.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money UGA -188 / VAN +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total UGA win
Actual VAN +3 167 Lost
Massey UGA -2.8 (-5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 137.7 (+29.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UGA -2.5 (-5.5) 140.7 (+26.3) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UGA -1.0 (-4.0) 140.6 (+26.4) 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UGA -3.0 (-6.0) 140.4 (+26.6) 67% ✗
Baseline ML UGA -2.9 (-5.9) 141.7 (+25.3) 65% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 VAN 88 – 80 UGA
Mar 8, 2025 UGA 79 – 68 VAN
Feb 22, 2024 UGA 76 – 64 VAN
Mar 10, 2022 VAN 86 – 51 UGA
Jan 29, 2022 VAN 85 – 77 UGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UGA VAN
Overall 16-16 22-15
Conference 6-12 11-7
Home 13-4 14-6
Away 1-10 5-6
Neutral 2-2 3-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 71.9
Avg Pts Against 71.5 71.5
Massey 4.6 (#105) 5.5 (#92)
Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#69) 0.74 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.78 (#67) 0.88 (#111)
RPI 0.552 (#90) 0.544 (#99)
Shooting & Four Factors UGA VAN
FG% 42.4% 42.9%
3PT% 34.2% 32.4%
REB / G 38.6 38.2
OREB / G 11.8 12.1
AST / TO 0.85 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 49.6%
TOV% 20.2% 17.6%
ORB% 33.9% 32.8%
FT Rate 27.6% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 15.9%
DRB% 71.6% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 17.1% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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