Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNA +130 BELL -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -2.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -2.0 (+7.0) | 148.1 (-7.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -0.4 (+5.4) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -1.9 (+6.9) | 148.1 (-7.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.2 (+7.2) | 149.4 (-8.4) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNA 70 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 83.3 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#342) | -7.6 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#331) | -1.44 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#339) | -1.73 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#336) | 0.427 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 27.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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