Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -1600 BELL +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -18.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -15.5 (+0.5) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -13.7 (+2.3) | 148.7 (-0.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -16.0 (-0.0) | 149.8 (-1.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -15.7 (+0.3) | 149.5 (-1.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNA 70 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-16 |
| Home | 16-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#146) | -14.1 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#193) | -3.71 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#190) | -4.42 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#214) | 0.330 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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