Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -200 BELL +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -7.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -5.8 (+10.2) | 146.6 (-24.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -4.5 (+11.5) | 143.8 (-21.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -5.3 (+10.7) | 144.6 (-22.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -5.0 (+11.0) | 145.1 (-23.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNA 70 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-13 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#256) | -8.2 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#303) | -2.14 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#290) | -2.28 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#251) | 0.434 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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