Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +160 UNA -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -2.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -1.7 (+13.7) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -2.3 (+14.3) | 142.9 (+9.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -2.0 (+14.0) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -2.1 (+14.1) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNA 70 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#321) | -4.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#329) | -0.73 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#330) | -0.86 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#326) | 0.459 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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