Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -163 UNA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +13 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -4.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -3.3 (-16.3) | 141.7 (-14.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -2.1 (-15.1) | 144.9 (-17.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.1 (-15.1) | 145.8 (-18.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -1.8 (-14.8) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#253) | -5.5 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#208) | 0.10 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#225) | -0.32 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#203) | 0.498 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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