Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -205 UNA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -7.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -2.5 (-11.5) | 146.0 (+9.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -4.4 (-13.4) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -4.4 (-13.4) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -5.1 (-14.1) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNA 70 – 57 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#249) | -9.8 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#277) | -1.71 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#279) | -2.30 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#269) | 0.412 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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