I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Atlantic Sun Conference · Knights Hall · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -4.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money BELL -205 / UNA +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual UNA +9 155 Lost
Massey BELL -7.7 (-16.7) — —
Massey Totals — 151.7 (+3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BELL -5.1 (-14.1) 144.4 (+10.6) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -2.5 (-11.5) 146.0 (+9.0) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -4.4 (-13.4) 143.6 (+11.4) 69% ✗
Baseline ML BELL -4.4 (-13.4) 144.4 (+10.6) 71% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 UNA 73 – 68 BELL
Jan 3, 2025 UNA 82 – 66 BELL
Feb 24, 2024 BELL 82 – 70 UNA
Jan 12, 2024 UNA 69 – 53 BELL
Feb 17, 2023 UNA 70 – 57 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL UNA
Overall 13-19 9-21
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 10-5 5-8
Away 2-13 4-12
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.9 67.9
Avg Pts Against 83.3 78.0
Massey -5.7 (#249) -9.8 (#308)
Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#277) -1.71 (#307)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.79 (#279) -2.30 (#305)
RPI 0.448 (#269) 0.412 (#320)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL UNA
FG% 50.7% 40.2%
3PT% 35.4% 30.8%
REB / G 27.8 34.6
OREB / G 5.5 11.2
AST / TO 1.13 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.9% 45.7%
TOV% 17.9% 16.4%
ORB% 19.2% 29.9%
FT Rate 30.3% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.8% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 14.4%
DRB% 65.2% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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