Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -1800 MD +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -20.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -17.0 (-4.0) | 139.4 (-4.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -14.9 (-1.9) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -16.5 (-3.5) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -17.5 (-4.5) | 137.2 (-2.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2025 | MD 83 – 75 NEB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MD 69 – 66 NEB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MD 73 – 51 NEB |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NEB 70 – 66 MD |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MD 82 – 63 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 16-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#17) | 1.9 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#10) | 0.80 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.58 (#12) | 0.99 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#22) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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