Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MD -500 NEB +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MD -10.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -9.4 (-6.4) | 148.3 (-13.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -8.4 (-5.4) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -9.0 (-6.0) | 146.9 (-11.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -8.7 (-5.7) | 148.0 (-13.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NEB 74 – 61 MD |
| Feb 14, 2025 | MD 83 – 75 NEB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MD 73 – 51 NEB |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NEB 70 – 66 MD |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MD 82 – 63 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.1 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#16) | 10.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#54) | 2.17 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#47) | 3.03 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#81) | 0.608 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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