Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NEB +163 MD -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MD -4.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -3.2 (+7.2) | 135.0 (+1.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -3.8 (+7.8) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -3.1 (+7.1) | 132.9 (+3.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -3.0 (+7.0) | 134.3 (+1.7) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NEB 74 – 61 MD |
| Feb 14, 2025 | MD 83 – 75 NEB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MD 69 – 66 NEB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MD 73 – 51 NEB |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MD 82 – 63 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#99) | 12.7 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#75) | 2.13 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#72) | 2.71 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#115) | 0.590 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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