Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -325 WOF +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -10.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -8.2 (-11.2) | 145.8 (-4.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -10.4 (-13.4) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -10.7 (-13.7) | 149.7 (-8.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -11.3 (-14.3) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ETSU 57 – 50 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#129) | -5.0 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#148) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#148) | -0.83 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#94) | 0.490 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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