Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -175 ETSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -2.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.6 (-7.6) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -1.7 (-6.7) | 136.3 (+4.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.0 (-8.0) | 136.6 (+4.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.7 (-7.7) | 137.1 (+3.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ETSU 57 – 50 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#145) | 1.2 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#166) | -0.14 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#153) | -0.10 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.492 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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