Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -125 WOF +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -0.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -0.5 (-11.5) | 135.3 (-3.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.5 (-11.5) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.6 (-11.4) | 135.5 (-3.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.4 (-11.6) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ETSU 57 – 50 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#140) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#164) | -0.16 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#165) | 0.02 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#169) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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