Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WOF +102 ETSU -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -2.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -0.8 (-13.2) | 147.2 (+10.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.2 (-14.2) | 142.6 (+15.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -0.1 (-13.9) | 144.0 (+14.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -1.0 (-13.0) | 144.9 (+13.1) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ETSU 57 – 50 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#207) | 2.4 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#150) | -0.19 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#193) | -0.25 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#155) | 0.498 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.