Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ETSU -210 WOF +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -6.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -5.1 (-8.1) | 139.9 (+19.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -5.1 (-8.1) | 139.4 (+19.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -4.8 (-7.8) | 140.2 (+18.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -4.4 (-7.4) | 141.9 (+17.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ETSU 57 – 50 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#122) | 0.1 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#205) | -0.30 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#171) | 0.00 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#231) | 0.492 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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