Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | COR +185 YALE -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -5.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 178.6 (-37.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.4 (+7.4) | 159.1 (-18.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -4.6 (+7.6) | 162.1 (-21.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.4 (+7.4) | 163.4 (-22.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -5.0 (+8.0) | 161.8 (-20.8) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YALE 103 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 7-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.8 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#166) | 7.9 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#225) | 1.62 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#219) | 1.71 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#166) | 0.612 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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