Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -225 COR +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +6 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -5.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -5.1 (+0.9) | 154.9 (+19.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.8 (+1.2) | 157.3 (+16.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -4.3 (+1.7) | 156.3 (+17.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.7 (+1.3) | 154.5 (+19.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YALE 103 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#70) | 2.7 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#85) | 0.23 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#86) | 0.27 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#37) | 0.528 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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