Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 174.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -500 COR +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +34 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -11.5 (+22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 187.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -14.6 (+19.4) | 164.1 (+5.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.5 (+22.5) | 160.8 (+9.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -12.2 (+21.8) | 165.4 (+4.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -11.9 (+22.1) | 166.0 (+4.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YALE 103 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 84.6 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#92) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#69) | -0.89 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#86) | -1.20 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#46) | 0.491 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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