Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -265 COR +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -7.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -8.5 (+3.5) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -6.7 (+5.3) | 155.6 (+8.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -8.1 (+3.9) | 157.4 (+6.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -7.1 (+4.9) | 156.5 (+7.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YALE 103 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 84.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#78) | 0.9 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#70) | -0.20 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#79) | -0.30 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#23) | 0.522 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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