Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -800 COR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +4 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -12.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -14.1 (-10.1) | 159.8 (+20.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -12.3 (-8.3) | 156.9 (+23.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -12.9 (-8.9) | 158.7 (+21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -12.7 (-8.7) | 159.7 (+20.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YALE 103 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#63) | -0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#84) | -0.04 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#84) | -0.00 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#46) | 0.514 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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