Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | COR +150 YALE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +15 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -2.5 (-12.5) | 155.9 (+35.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -2.4 (-12.6) | 155.3 (+35.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -1.7 (-13.3) | 156.0 (+35.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -1.2 (-13.8) | 155.6 (+35.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 13-1 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#123) | 9.1 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#134) | 0.85 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | 1.10 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.568 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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