Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -345 EIU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -7.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -5.9 (-9.9) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -5.9 (-9.9) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -6.0 (-10.0) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -5.7 (-9.7) | 142.0 (-4.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIN 82 – 74 EIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EIU 76 – 70 LIN |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EIU 78 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EIU 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | EIU 78 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#264) | -10.9 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#240) | -1.84 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#265) | -2.36 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#233) | 0.439 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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