Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -400 LIN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -10.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -8.2 (+6.8) | 134.0 (-5.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -8.3 (+6.7) | 130.3 (-1.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -7.2 (+7.8) | 131.0 (-2.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -8.0 (+7.0) | 131.1 (-2.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EIU 71 – 67 LIN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIN 82 – 74 EIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EIU 76 – 70 LIN |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EIU 78 – 74 LIN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | EIU 78 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#307) | -15.4 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#302) | -2.60 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#309) | -3.24 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#297) | 0.372 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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