Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +295 LIN -375 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -3.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -4.6 (-3.4) | 144.0 (+12.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -4.1 (-3.9) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -4.3 (-3.7) | 142.6 (+13.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -4.9 (-3.1) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EIU 71 – 67 LIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EIU 76 – 70 LIN |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EIU 78 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EIU 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | EIU 78 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#321) | -3.0 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#303) | 0.53 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#299) | 0.59 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#295) | 0.514 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 58.6% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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